Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.188494e-03 0.001341 0.001496 0.001663 0.001839 0.002018 0.002213
2025-03-02 8.090572e-04 0.001031 0.001268 0.001536 0.001828 0.002134 0.002478
2025-03-09 5.330278e-04 0.000797 0.001097 0.001453 0.001855 0.002289 0.002789
2025-03-16 3.350732e-04 0.000620 0.000968 0.001403 0.001912 0.002477 0.003140
2025-03-23 2.186371e-04 0.000518 0.000914 0.001431 0.002056 0.002764 0.003607
2025-03-30 1.212018e-04 0.000413 0.000842 0.001429 0.002161 0.003006 0.004027
2025-04-06 5.736394e-05 0.000331 0.000786 0.001441 0.002279 0.003263 0.004466
2025-04-13 2.012317e-05 0.000269 0.000746 0.001467 0.002412 0.003538 0.004927
2025-04-20 8.181733e-08 0.000188 0.000660 0.001421 0.002449 0.003696 0.005250
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000123 0.000581 0.001376 0.002482 0.003844 0.005560
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000098 0.000570 0.001425 0.002636 0.004140 0.006046
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000063 0.000521 0.001412 0.002704 0.004329 0.006402
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000019 0.000422 0.001322 0.002680 0.004421 0.006669
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000001 0.000345 0.001256 0.002690 0.004559 0.006996
2025-06-01 NaN NaN 0.000287 0.001216 0.002732 0.004741 0.007383
2025-06-08 NaN NaN 0.000243 0.001195 0.002802 0.004959 0.007817
2025-06-15 NaN NaN 0.000233 0.001240 0.002971 0.005308 0.008416
2025-06-22 NaN NaN 0.000210 0.001252 0.003089 0.005592 0.008935
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.000191 0.001273 0.003219 0.005892 0.009476
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.000179 0.001306 0.003367 0.006216 0.010047
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.000142 0.001268 0.003403 0.006389 0.010428
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000109 0.001228 0.003434 0.006552 0.010796
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000107 0.001278 0.003607 0.006909 0.011407